The USDA’s newest World Agricultural Present and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report presents a optimistic outlook for U.S. poultry manufacturing in 2025, forecasting continued growth as a result of the commerce rebounds from newest challenges. Broiler manufacturing is anticipated to realize 47.5 billion kilos in 2025, sustaining the momentum constructed over earlier years. This projection shows the resilience of the poultry sector, which has navigated the outcomes of avian influenza and fluctuating feed costs with notable stability.
Nonetheless, whereas manufacturing is on the rise, value forecasts for poultry merchandise current a further nuanced picture. The USDA has barely lowered its broiler value forecast for 2025 to $1.27 per pound, a small decline from the $1.29 per pound anticipated in 2024. This adjustment is attributed to stronger-than-anticipated prices by means of mid-2024, which led to higher-than-expected prices inside the first quarter of 2025 (Zia Commodities, LLC) (USDA ERS).
In distinction, the outlook for turkey prices has been revised downward. The USDA has adjusted its 2024 forecast to 94.2 cents per pound, with prices anticipated to remain subdued into 2025 at $1.05 per pound. This decline shows newest market data indicating weaker-than-expected demand and lowered pricing vitality inside the turkey sector.
Egg prices, nonetheless, are anticipated to remain comparatively extreme in 2024, with the USDA elevating its forecast to $2.71 per dozen for the latter half of the yr. This enhance is pushed by tighter inventories and stronger market conditions. Ready for 2025, the USDA expects egg prices to common significantly to $1.75 per dozen, although they might keep elevated as compared with historic averages (Zia Commodities, LLC) (USDA ERS).
In summary, whereas the U.S. poultry commerce is about for a further yr of producing growth in 2025, value tendencies will vary all through utterly completely different merchandise. Broiler prices are anticipated to ease barely, turkey prices are projected to say no extra, and egg prices will most likely keep comparatively extreme sooner than moderating as a result of the market stabilizes.